#12 Exponential trend percentiles on silver price

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This is the twelfth video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.

Contents

00:00 Intro

00:17 Silver briefly

04:10 Four basic trendlines

04:20 Exponential trendline on silver price (48% R-squared)

06:22 Hunt brothers

09:25 One sigma around trendline (66th percentile)

12:35 Two sigma around trendline (95th percentile)

20:30 What about the silver bulls?

Here we run and explain an exponential trendline over the last 50+ years of silver price data, and run percentile bands (standard deviations) around the regression.

Coefficients:

y = a * EXP (b * x)

y = y-intercept * EXP (slope * x)

y = 3.55 * EXP (0.27% * x)

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Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.

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• Source: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/porkopolis/episodes/12-Exponential-trend-percentiles-on-silver-price-e1tupj8